by David W. Moore on Sep 08, 2021
Consumer Confidence Is Up! No, It’s Down! Why the Conflict?
At the end of August, three different polls produced three different assessments of how well the economy is doing, as...
Polling Articles
by David W. Moore on Aug 18, 2021
How NYT Columnist Ross Douthat used ambiguous poll results to create a “public opinion” that conforms to his world view.
In July 2020, the Cato Institute, described as a Libertarian think tank, released the results of its own poll focusing...
by David W. Moore on Jul 29, 2021
Report: 2020 national, statewide polls worst in decades. Congressional district polls no better.
“The 2020 polls featured polling error of an unusual magnitude,” according to a just released report by the American Association...
by David W. Moore on May 19, 2021
AP’s Post-Election Analysis Shows Its Early Call for Arizona on Election Night Was a Mistake
Early this month, the Associated Press (AP) and the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago issued...
by David W. Moore on Apr 13, 2021
Don’t Blame for the Public for the Failure to Pass New Gun Laws
Earlier this month, Gallup’s Frank Newport reviewed public opinion on proposed changes in gun laws. His review of the polls...
by David W. Moore on Feb 23, 2021
Are Americans More ‘Pro-Life’ or ‘Pro-Choice’ on Abortion? Question Wording Makes a Difference. So Does Timing. (Analysis)
In a recent article in National Review, Ramesh Ponnuru cites Gallup data suggesting that women are more "pro-life" than "pro-choice."...
by David W. Moore on Feb 12, 2021
Is Public Opinion Leaning toward Convicting Trump in Impeachment Trial?
A batch of new polls suggest that more Americans want the U.S. Senate to convict than acquit former President Donald...
by David W. Moore on Feb 03, 2021
Why We Should Be Skeptical of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs Poll
A recent news release by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs (CCGA) announces that “Democrats, Republicans Support Alliances, Disagree on...
by David W. Moore on Dec 09, 2020
The 2020 Election Polls Were Even Worse Than It Appears
In the days following the election, many pundits argued “the polls were wrong again and much of America wants to...
by David W. Moore on Aug 25, 2020
Did Professor Allan Lichtman correctly “predict” the winner of the 2016 presidential election? His own book says no. [Updated with response]
This month, American University Professor Allan Lichtman made his widely anticipated prediction of who would win the 2020 presidential election....