by David W. Moore on Dec 09, 2020
The 2020 Election Polls Were Even Worse Than It Appears
In the days following the election, many pundits argued “the polls were wrong again and much of America wants to...
Media Polls
by David W. Moore on Oct 27, 2020
Are Fears of a “Red Mirage” Nightmare on Election Night Overblown? Probably…
In the past few weeks, numerous news articles have raised the specter of chaos and confusion on Election Night because...
by David W. Moore on Aug 25, 2020
Did Professor Allan Lichtman correctly “predict” the winner of the 2016 presidential election? His own book says no. [Updated with response]
This month, American University Professor Allan Lichtman made his widely anticipated prediction of who would win the 2020 presidential election....
by David W. Moore on Jul 06, 2020
Abortion Polls: What They Do and Don’t Tell Us
The Supreme Court’s rejection of a Louisiana law that restricts access to abortion may have lobbed that issue into the...
by David W. Moore on Jun 19, 2020
McLaughlin should apologize for Critique of NBC, ABC, and CNN Polls
Upset with polls showing him trailing presumptive Democratic Party presidential candidate Joe Biden by double digits, President Trump released last...
by David W. Moore on May 18, 2020
Why CNN’s poll on Biden, Trump & battleground states can’t be trusted
A new CNN poll reports Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally by five percentage points, but trailing Trump in the...
by David W. Moore on Apr 17, 2020
Effect of the Coronavirus Crisis on the 2020 Presidential Election – Dueling Polls
News reports have suggested that President Trump was getting a bounce in popularity as a consequence of the White House...
by David W. Moore on Mar 19, 2020
Did Nate Silver Help Elect Trump? Maybe…
A recent article in the Washington Post suggested that President Donald Trump’s election may have been helped by probability forecasts...
by David W. Moore on Feb 02, 2020
Kudos to the Des Moines Register for Shelving Their Latest Poll – But Does It Matter?
A New York Times article on Saturday announced that “A highly anticipated poll of Iowa Democrats, set to be released...